USDJPY Fundamental Analysis – 12-September-2024
On Thursday, the Japanese yen weakened to around 142.7 (USD/JPY). This drop occurred as the US dollar strengthened after a mixed report on US consumer inflation.
The report stirred speculation that the Federal Reserve might opt for a smaller interest rate cut of 25 basis points in its next meeting. Despite this, the yen remained near its most vital point for the year, thanks to the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) stance on raising interest rates.
Bank of Japan Signals More Rate Hikes Ahead
Bank of Japan officials are indicating steady rate hikes in the coming months. Naoki Tamura, a board member of the BOJ, shared on Thursday that the central bank aims to lift short-term interest rates to about 1% by the fiscal year 2026.
This move is essential to meet the BOJ’s goal of maintaining 2% inflation.
BOJ’s Commitment to Inflation and Economic Stability
Another BOJ board member, Junko Nakagawa, echoed this sentiment earlier in the week. She mentioned that the central bank is prepared to continue raising interest rates as long as the economy and inflation align with the bank’s projections.
Nakagawa also pointed out that the tight job market and rising import costs contribute to upward pressure on inflation.
Conclusion: What’s Next for the Yen and BOJ?
In summary, while the yen weakened slightly against the dollar this week, the Bank of Japan’s plan to raise interest rates may keep it strong in the long term.
As inflation and economic conditions develop, the BOJ is expected to continue adjusting its policies to meet its inflation targets and support the economy. With steady rate hikes ahead, the yen may remain a focal point for traders and investors.
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