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AUDUSD Struggles – US Gains vs. Surprising Chinese Growth

On Friday, the AUD/USD pair was around $0.658, close to its lowest point since early August. This was mainly because the US dollar was getting stronger due to signs of a solid American economy and expectations that Trump might win the upcoming election.

However, an unexpected increase in Chinese factory activity supported the Australian dollar, which is often used as a substitute for the yuan.

The AUD/USD trades at approximately $0.655, below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands.
The AUD/USD trades at approximately $0.655, below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands.

RBA Likely to Hold Rates as Inflation Remains Stubborn

In Australia, the economic data has been mixed, making it difficult to predict the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) next moves. Producer prices rose more than expected in the third quarter, while retail sales slowed significantly in September.

Additionally, earlier data showed that the annual trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index (CPI), the RBA’s preferred measure of inflation, only slightly decreased to 3.5% in the third quarter, staying above the target range of 2%-3%. In their meeting next week, most people believe that the RBA will keep interest rates steady at 4.35%.

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