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NZDUSD – Inflation Drop Spurs NZ Rate Cut Hopes

The New Zealand dollar trades around $0.61 (NZD/USD) as traders anticipate Wednesday’s Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) interest rate decision. The central bank is widely expected to maintain its official cash rate at 5.5% for the seventh consecutive meeting.

NZDUSD - Inflation Drop Spurs NZ Rate Cut Hopes
NZDUSD – Inflation Drop Spurs NZ Rate Cut Hopes

Focus on Potential Rate Cuts

While the RBNZ is expected to keep rates steady, traders are keenly watching for any hints that rate cuts could start earlier than the mid-2025 forecast made in February. Recent data showing a drop in the country’s 2-year inflation expectations to their lowest level in nearly three years has fueled speculation that the RBNZ might consider lowering rates later this year.

US Dollar Stabilizes Amid Fed Caution

On the other side of the Pacific, the US dollar stabilized after several Federal Reserve officials called for continued policy caution. This comes despite data last week indicating that consumer price pressures eased in April.

Investors are now looking forward to releasing the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes this week, along with more comments from Fed officials, for additional insights into the US interest rate path.

What Traders Should Watch

For forex traders, it’s crucial to stay informed about central bank policies, as these decisions can significantly impact currency values. Monitor the RBNZ’s statements on future rate cuts and the FOMC minutes for further cues on the US dollar. Being proactive and staying updated can help you make better trading decisions in this volatile market.

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