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USDCAD Fundamental Analysis – 10-June-2024

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USD/CAD—The Canadian dollar weakened in June, trading above 1.376 per USD. This decline is mainly due to the strong performance of the US dollar, bolstered by a significant rise in US payrolls. This increase supports the possibility of a more aggressive stance by the US Federal Reserve.

USDCAD Fundamental Analysis - 10-June-2024

USDCAD Fundamental Analysis – 10-June-2024

BoC Faces Tough Choices Amid Labor Shifts

On the home front, Canada presented mixed labor data, influencing the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) approach to monetary policy. Despite the unemployment rate reaching a peak of 6.2% in May, the highest since 2021, the economy added more jobs than anticipated, and wages saw a sharp rise.

This labor market fluctuation has made it crucial for the BoC to navigate its rate decisions carefully.

BoC Cuts Key Rate to 4.75%

In response to recent economic signals, the BoC reduced its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. This cut follows a prolonged period of keeping rates at a 22-year high for 11 months. The decision reflects ongoing efforts to manage disinflation towards the BoC’s target, a softer-than-expected GDP growth in the first quarter, and a somewhat unstable labor market.

Final Words

These developments underscore the importance of staying informed about economic indicators and central bank policies for consumers and investors. Understanding these trends can help make more informed decisions, whether regarding currency trading, investments, or planning for future financial needs.

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