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USDJPY Fundamental Analysis – February-1-2024

USDJPY – The Japanese yen has recently seen a significant rise in value, reaching levels beyond 147 against the US dollar. This increase is mainly due to investors moving their money to safer assets. The shift comes amid financial concerns with a regional US bank, New York Community Bancorp, which has caused some worry in global financial markets. When there’s uncertainty, investors often look for stable investments, and the yen is considered one of these ‘safe-haven’ assets.

USDJPY Fundamental Analysis - February-1-2024
USDJPY Fundamental Analysis 4-Hour Chart

Strong Job Market Boosts Japan’s Economic Outlook

The job market shows unexpected strength in Japan, influencing how people think the Bank of Japan might act regarding its monetary policy. Surprisingly, Japan’s unemployment rate dropped to 2.4% in December, slightly lower than experts predicted. This strong jobs report suggests that more Japanese people are working, which is a good sign for the economy.

It’s led to speculation that the Bank of Japan might change its approach to managing the country’s money, especially if this trend of more people working continues.

Mixe” Signals in JapanJapan’somic Data

Despite the positive news from the job market, not everything in Japan looks rosy. Industrial production and retail sales figures for December and manufacturing data from January show that some parts of Japan are struggling. This paints a complex picture: on one hand, more people are working, but on the other, specific industries aren’t as well as hoped.

Last week, there was a bit of optimism when the head of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, mentioned that Japan is getting closer to its goal of 2% inflation, which is a sign of a healthy economy. He also hinted that if this positive trend keeps up, the bank might reevaluate its current approach to boosting the economy, which involves pumping a lot of money into it.

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