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USDJPY Fundamental Analysis – January-29-2024

The offshore yuan has recently declined, surpassing 7.19 against the dollar (USDJPY), as market participants evaluate the ramifications of China’s unexpected decision to lower the reserve requirement ratio (RRR). This move by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) aims to bolster the country’s faltering economy by reducing banks’ RRR by 50 basis points in the upcoming month. Such a strategic cut in the RRR signals a shift in China’s monetary policy and reflects the country’s broader economic challenges.

USDJPY Fundamental Analysis - January-29-2024
USDJPY Fundamental Analysis 4-Hour Chart

China’s Economic Stimulus Measures

To inject liquidity and stimulate economic growth, the PBOC’s action is anticipated to release approximately 1 trillion yuan of long-term capital into the economy. This initiative comes when other major central banks globally are expected to commence interest rate reductions within the year. This global monetary easing provides a conducive environment for the PBOC to implement its easing measures. The decision underlines China’s proactive approach to counter economic headwinds and support its economy through targeted financial strategies.

Stabilizing Capital Markets: China’s New Strategy

Further to monetary policy adjustments, China’s government is taking concrete steps to stabilize its capital markets. Recent reports indicate that Chinese authorities are planning to allocate around 2 trillion yuan, primarily sourced from offshore accounts of state-owned enterprises, to establish a fund. This fund is intended for purchasing shares in the mainland market. Such a significant financial move represents a comprehensive strategy to bolster market confidence and underscores China’s commitment to maintaining a stable and robust financial system amidst global uncertainties. This multifaceted approach reflects a deeper understanding of the interconnected nature of monetary policy, economic stability, and capital market confidence.

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