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USDMXN Analysis – March-13-2024

The Mexican peso‘s value dropped beyond 16.83 against the US dollar mark. This happened after it reached a high point over the last six months at 16.78 USD on March 11. The fall came right after the US inflation report for February showed higher-than-expected results, strengthening the US dollar.

Also, the value of US Treasuries decreased, raising their yields. This situation helped the US dollar gain more strength.

USDMXN Analysis
USDMXN Analysis 4-Hour Chart

Growth in Mexico’s Industrial Sector

In a positive turn of events, Mexico’s industrial sector showed improvement in January. It recorded a growth of 0.4%, starkly contrasting the previous month’s decline of 0.7%. Over the year, this sector has grown by 2.9%, marking a significant improvement from the stagnant situation in December.

This upward trend in Mexico’s industrial activities is a promising sign of economic recovery and warrants attention.

Mexico’s Inflation Dynamics and Policy Implications

In February, Mexico’s inflation rate came in lower than expected, with the year-on-year rate at 4.40%, a decrease from January’s 4.88%. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) also decreased slightly from 0.11% to 0.09% over the month.

However, the Core CPI, which excludes volatile items, was down from 4.76% to 4.64%. These figures suggest Banxico might consider reducing interest rates this year, given that inflation is lower than anticipated. This potential shift in monetary policy is a key development to watch in Mexico’s economic landscape.

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